Monday, March 22, 2010

And another memo ...

It may seem like I'm picking on them, but I'm really not. It's just that some of the releases the David Poythress camp is throwing out are pretty puzzling ...

An independent poll conducted by national polling firm, Survey USA, shows results that “surprised” the authors.  They found that among the overall electorate I have the strongest support with a 16% favorable and 7% unfavorable rating among Democrats and a 13%/6% ratio among Republicans.  My overall favorability rating is +6 (14%/8%), which was higher than former Governor Roy Barnes (+5).  In addition, they found what they called “lackluster support” for Attorney General Thurbert Baker.  DuBose Porter fared the least well among Democrats with a 9%/9% ratio.

Looking more closely at the details of their survey, you’ll see more good news for us.  In 18 of 19 demographic categories, my numbers stay positive.  I do the best (have much higher favorable and low unfavorable ratings) among those 18-49 years old (13%/5%), self described liberals (18%/1%) and those below the gnat line in south Georgia (18%/8%).  Add these stats to my solid showing among the folks you would expect me to appeal to - older, conservative voters - and you see that the Primary is looking good.

The Survey USA report, however, offers a more detailed picture than merely cherry-picked statistics.
 
Because the Poythress campaign omitted the actual overall numbers for Barnes, which showed that the former governor had a 27 percent favorability rating ... which is almost twice as high as Poythress's total. And, in each of those demographic subgroups, Barnes has markedly higher favorability ratings than Poythress (i.e. 26 percent to 14 percent in the 18-35 demographic).

Plus, Barnes has a 37 percent favorability rating among the moderates that Poythress argues you have to win, while the general only has a 12 percent favorability rating. 

Furthermore, Baker has an overall favorability rating of 14 percent, which is the same as Poythress's.

Listen, I get that you want to generate positive press, but the stream of inanity that's come out of your camp since you drew a challenger suggests its more likely that paranoia is at work rather than confidence.
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RuralDem: ...
I wonder if Poythress and Alabama Congressman (and Gubernatorial candidate) Artur Davis use the same campaign strategists or publicists or whatever. They're constantly releasing press releases.nnI am a big fan of the saying "quality of quantity".nnnEdit: I should add that I am a fan of Poythress, it's just that he and Congressman Davis seem to roll out a new release daily. I guess it can be argued that doing so is a good thing as it shows they have a well oiled machine going, much better than a campaign that rarely releases any statements.
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